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Daily analysis, October 28

October 28, 2013

We’ve got a good champion kicking off our week. Let’s see what happens!Cover 20131028

In the last few clues before Final, we had several possibilities for interesting wagering situations, but none came to pass.

Mike Shapiro: 11,000
Molly Kossoff: 15,200
Gus Iurillo: 7,000

Molly should wager 5,800. If she’s wrong, she’ll fall below Mike by 600.

Since Gus is still in play, Mike has a choice to make. He can risk no more than 600 so as not to fall below Molly’s rational wager; or he can wager at least 3,000 to cover Gus. In the latter case, since he probably won’t win anyway if he’s wrong (unless Molly goes too big), he might as well wager everything.

Gus will need to put at least 3,400 at risk to catch up to Molly. He has nothing to lose by wagering everything (except maybe the runner-up prize, but that’s nothing compared with the opportunity to play again).

Thanks to reader Kelly for pointing out that Gus should also wager at least 4,600 to cover a “small” wager by Mike.

Seriously, if you’re not going to play for the win, why even bother showing up? And what’s with that fearful wager out of Molly? Sigh.

Analysis 20131028

The Final Jeopardy! clue for October 28, 2013:

FICTIONAL CHARACTERS
THIS 19th CENTURY CHARACTER TALKS ABOUT HIS OWN WRITINGS ABOUT TATTOO MARKS & ON THE TRACING OF FOOTSTEPS

Correct response: Who is Sherlock Holmes?

From → Daily analysis

2 Comments
  1. Kelly permalink

    I just noticed something else – Gus should have ideally also wagered at least $4,600 to cover any “small” wager by Mike.

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